Zoopla: Demand for housing in England surpasses pre-lockdown levels | Mortgage Introducer

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Buyer demand across England rose by 88% after the market reopened in the week to 19 May, exceeding pre-lockdown levels by 20%; this jump in demand in England is expected to moderate in the coming weeks.

Six in 10 (60%) buyers in the UK are planning to continue with their search for their next home.

Of that cohort, 22% said that they have not been impacted by COVID-19 and expect to continue unaffected.

Meanwhile, 37% said that while they had been impacted to some extent, they were looking to continue with their purchase as soon as possible.

By contrast, 41% had put their plans on hold, citing market uncertainty, loss of income, and diminished confidence in future finances as deterrents.

Demand rebounded faster in cities along the south coast and in northern England.

Portsmouth and Southampton have registered demand 40% higher than in February this year, with strong growth also recorded in Newcastle and Leeds.

While demand for homes has grown, harder measures of market activity are increasing more slowly.

New sales agreed, sold subject to contract, were running at 10% of normal levels over the lockdown period and have now started to increase off a low base, based on viewings from before the lockdown.

Zoopla expects sales volumes to increase further, but at a more moderate pace given the typical two month lag between new demand entering the market and sales being agreed.

Moreover, if available supply does not increase, then not all demand will be satisfied.

The annual rate of house price growth fell from 2% to 1.9% from March to April, representing the lowest month-on-month change since January 2019, and prices were unchanged in April.

Richard Donnell, director of research and insight at Zoopla, said: “The scale of the rebound in demand for housing is  welcome news for estate agents and developers, but it is also surprising given projections for a sharp rise in unemployment and a major decline in economic growth.

“The COVID crisis and 50-day lockdown have created an unexpected one-off boost to housing demand.

“Millions of UK households have spent a considerable amount of time in their homes over the lockdown period and missed out on hours of commuting.

“Many households are likely to have re-evaluated what they want from their home.

“This could well explain the scale of the demand returning to the market.

“We need to see more supply come to the market to satisfy this demand.

“The economic impacts of COVID will grow in the coming months and uncertainty is building.

“The majority of would-be movers plan to continue their search, encouraged by low mortgage rates and continued government support for the economy.

“However, we expect the latest rebound in demand to moderate in the coming weeks as buyers and sellers start to exert greater caution.

“Further support from the government can’t be discounted and would help limit the scale of the downside risks.”