UK house prices end year strongly: Nationwide Mortgage Finance Gazette

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UK house prices ended 2024 in positive territory, up 4.7% compared with December 2023, though prices were still just below the all-time high recorded in summer 2022. This  is according to the lates Nationwide House Price Index.

Northern Ireland was the best performing area for the second year running, with prices up 7.1% over the year. Scotland recorded a 4.4% increase in 2024, whilst Wales saw a 2.7% year-on-year rise.

Across England overall, prices were up 3.1%, compared with Q4 2024. There was a clear north-south divide in house price performance in 2024 as Northern England (comprising North, North West, Yorkshire & The Humber, East Midlands and West Midlands) continued to outperform southern England, with prices up 4.9% year on year. The North was the best performing English region, with prices up 5.9% year on year.

Southern England (South West, Outer South East, Outer Metropolitan, London and East Anglia) saw a 2.2% year-on-year rise. The South West was the best performing southern region with annual price growth of 2.7%. East Anglia was the weakest performing UK region in 2024, with a modest 0.5% annual increase.

House prices increased by 0.7% month on month, after taking account of seasonal effects, following a 1.2% rise in November.

Looking back on 2024, Nationwide’s chief economist Robert Gardner said: “Mortgage market activity and house prices proved surprisingly resilient in 2024 given the ongoing affordability challenges facing potential buyers. At the start of the year, house prices remained high relative to average earnings, which meant that the deposit hurdle remained high for prospective first-time buyers.

“This is a challenge that had been made worse by record rates of rental growth in recent years, which has hampered the ability of many in the private rented sector to save.”

He added: “Moreover, for many of those with sufficient savings for a deposit, meeting monthly payments was a stretch because borrowing costs remained well above those prevailing in the aftermath of the pandemic. For example, a typical mortgage rate for someone with a 25% deposit hovered around 4.5% for much of the year, three times the 1.5% prevailing in late 2021, before the Bank of England started to raise the Bank Rate.

“As a result, it was encouraging that activity levels in the housing market increased over the course of 2024 with the number of mortgages approved for house purchase each month rising above pre-pandemic levels towards the end of the year.”

Commenting on the latest data from Nationwide April Mortgages director Rachael Hunnisett said: “Closing 2024 with another month of house price growth is a positive note for the industry, marking a year of resilience and recovery.

“The previous set of house price figures from Nationwide showed the fastest rate of growth in two years, so this latest data highlights just how robust the market is.

“The outlook for early 2025 looks promising, with activity expected to rise as homeowners rush to complete transactions ahead of April’s stamp duty deadline. An increase in property listings could also foster more competitive pricing, offering buyers greater flexibility.

She added: “Recent interest rate cuts have significantly boosted buyer confidence, playing a key role in the recovery of house prices throughout 2024. If inflation remains stable and rates continue to fall, the housing market could see even more momentum in the coming months.”

MT Finance director Tomer Aboody largely echoed this view: “As 2024 came to a close, sentiment remained pretty strong.

“We have seen an increase in prices year-on-year, mostly due to the rate cuts which have made affordability easier and in turn, have brought more buyers and sellers back into the fold. Higher transaction levels have also made the market more buoyant.

“With the stamp duty concession ending in March, 2025 as a whole might not be as positive as everyone hopes but another rate cut early in the year could help ease any pain.”