Rising rates had a pronounced impact on one category of loans

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Rising mortgage rates last week kept consumers on the sidelines. 

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported both purchase and refinance applications receding last week, continuing a slide after an end-of-summer surge. The MBA's Market Composite Index of mortgage activity fell 5.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending Oct. 4, compared to the seven days prior.

The effective contract interest rate for all loan types tracked by the MBA rose on a weekly basis, led by the 30-year fixed rate mortgage jumping to 6.36% from 6.14%. The highest mortgage rates since August are the results of stronger economic data, including a September jobs report that came in above expectations

"Conventional loan refinances, which tend to have larger balances than government loans and hence are more responsive for a given change in mortgage rates, fell to a greater extent over the week," said Mike Fratantoni, the MBA's senior vice president and chief economist, in a press release. 

Among all loan types, conventional loan refi applications fell the most week-over-week, down 14%. The MBA's overall Refinance Index fell 9% during the same period, but remains 159% above where it was the same time a year ago. That assessment aligns directionally with a recent Optimal Blue report showing rate-and-term refi locks up 600% annually in September. 

The Purchase Index was flat, down 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis compared to the week ending Sept. 27. The unadjusted Purchase index inched up 0.1% weekly, and sits 8% higher than it was the previous seven days. 

Fratantoni in a statement suggested numerous factors beyond mortgage rates influenced purchase activity. Rising homeowners insurance and property taxes have been particularly painful for consumers. The average loan size was a record $413,100 a few weeks ago, according to the MBA; it was $402,900 in the most recent seven-day period the group tracked.

The average 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage crossed the 6% threshold last week, rising 19 basis points to 6.06%. The 15-year FRM saw the largest increase, climbing 20 bps to 5.71%. 

Rates for jumbo loans and Federal Housing Administration mortgages meanwhile also rose by double-digit bps, to 6.64% and 6.22%, respectively.


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