How AI may help mortgage lending weather a talent crunch

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At times, the generational divide in mortgage lending feels like the setup to a workplace sitcom: the Gen X loan officer wonders why no one returns their voicemail, while the Gen Z loan officer never even bothered to configure theirs. Beyond the humor, there's a real operational issue: knowledge that took 30 years to accumulate is getting ready to retire to Margaritaville, and the next generation doesn't have three decades to catch up.

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The scope of the problem becomes clear in the data. According to MGIC's 2024 Loan Originators Survey, 64 percent of loan officers are 50 or older. National Mortgage News' 2025 Top Producers study shows a similar pattern: roughly one-third of top producers are over 50, and more than four in five are 41 or older.

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The challenge isn't just retirement; it's that the next generation hasn't found this profession appealing. The job is complicated, the pay fluctuates, and the learning curve is steep. In the '90s and early 2000s, the industry was more profitable and more tolerant of on-the-job mistakes. Today's market is leaner, margins are tighter, and technology is changing expectations. The path to success has become narrower. The result is a talent pipeline that looks more like a bottleneck.

A cycle of turnover

Turnover has always been part of the business, but the pace has become exhausting. The STRATMOR Group cites a long-term average annual turnover rate between 30 and 45 percent. Retention spikes during refi booms, but in slower markets, lenders can't afford to carry underperformers. They cut staff when volume dips and hire again when it rises. It's the mortgage version of musical chairs.

Each round of turnover drains resources. Recruiting, onboarding, and lost production can cost up to three times a loan officer's annual compensation. Every restart means retraining and rebuilding pipelines from scratch. Lenders need a way to get new hires producing faster and staying longer.

The urgency of replacing experience before it retires

The industry is running out of time to replace its most valuable asset: experience. Seasoned loan officers have spent decades internalizing the rules, exceptions, and borrower patterns that are not outlined in any manual. They've developed instincts that keep loans flowing and borrowers confident, and that kind of judgment isn't found in a training guide.

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Younger generations approach work differently. Gen Z values flexibility, digital tools, and work-life balance. Their mentors learned the trade by being constantly available to borrowers, often working late into the night. One generation lives in Slack; the other still has a Rolodex. It's less a handoff than a cultural shift.

How AI can help

Artificial intelligence offers a practical path forward. Properly built, AI can act as a co-pilot for loan officers. It can guide conversations, suggest relevant  questions, and identify the most suitable loan programs based on a borrower's profile.

The goal is not to replace expertise, but to make it available sooner. AI can accelerate onboarding by providing recruits with real-time feedback, support compliance by flagging documentation issues, and close the confidence gap by offering reliable answers on the spot.

That means a 25-year-old new hire can have the kind of structured guidance that once took decades to develop. They don't need to memorize every exception in the Fannie Mae Selling Guide; they just need to know how to use a tool that remembers the rules for them.

The training gap

Historically, loan officers learned through repetition. Confidence came file by file, as they worked through enough borrower scenarios to recognize the patterns. A 55-year-old who started in the 1990s might never have formally studied underwriting, but decades of exposure taught them what fits and what doesn't.

That model no longer works. The industry doesn't have the volume, the time, or the staffing slack to support multi-year apprenticeships. Fannie Mae's research found mortgage employment at its lowest level since 2014 after eight consecutive quarters of production losses. By mid-2025, lenders were prioritizing "business process streamlining" and citing back-office staffing capacity as a growing concern. The message is clear: the time from hire to productivity must shrink.

AI can lift the burden of training off branch managers and experienced LOs, many of whom already juggle production, coaching, and firefighting. Instead of spending hours walking a new hire through edge cases, seasoned loan officers can rely on AI to answer routine questions, demonstrate how guidelines apply in context, and surface risks before a manager ever gets involved. It can walk a recruit through a borrower scenario step by step, explain why certain options are allowable, and flag when something doesn't align with policy.

Best of all, AI doesn't get impatient when a new LO asks a basic scenario question at 7 a.m. on a Saturday, or when the same question comes up for the third time. It gives every new hire consistent, accurate guidance, freeing human experts to focus on the higher-value coaching only they can deliver.

Not just for newcomers

This technology is just as valuable for veterans who no longer originate full-time. Many branch managers and executives keep their licenses but typically close only a few loans per year. Over time, the details fade. AI can act as a second brain, helping them stay sharp without relearning everything from scratch. It ensures consistency, regardless of how often they originate.

A path forward

Turnover will continue. Demographics will not reverse. But lenders can control how they transfer knowledge.

AI offers the industry a way to connect generations. It preserves valuable experience from the past and shares it with the next group of professionals. Borrowers still want the same thing as always: confidence that their loan officer knows what they're doing. For decades, that confidence came only with time. Today, it can come with training.