Buyers aren't biting on lower rates amid economic doubts

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Geopolitical uncertainty is roiling the housing market, affecting rates and demand in different ways.

Financial market volatility pushed the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage down to 6.84%, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The 9 basis point drop represented the lowest 30-year FRM since April, as rates have remained stubbornly high in recent weeks and months. 

Borrowers however didn't bite on the lower rates, as the trade group's Market Composite Index found overall application volume falling 2.6% from the week prior. Joel Kan, the MBA's vice president and deputy chief economist, said economic uncertainty, including regarding tariffs, is weighing on prospective homebuyers' decisions.

Easing rates also came on the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee, in which economists anticipate the Fed to avoid cutting short-term rates. 

Refinance applications made up just over a third of all activity, and fell 2% from the week prior. Purchase application volume also declined 3%, and on an unadjusted basis is just 14% higher than the same time last year. 

"Refinance activity declined for both conventional and government borrowers," said Kan in a press release. "[Department of Veterans Affairs] applications, however, bucked the trend with a 2% increase in purchase applications and a slight increase in refinance applications."

The MBA also found the average loan size for all mortgage applications last week at $380,200, the lowest amount since January.

Buyers in recent weeks have drifted toward government-backed loans, although the share of Federal Housing Administration-insured mortgages recently fell slightly to 17.8%. The average 30-year FHA rate ticked down to 6.57%, from 6.6% the prior stretch. 

VA loans saw a mild bump up to 12.1% of all applications, from 11.6% last week. The pace of homebuyers opting for U.S. Department of Agriculture loans meanwhile were steady at 0.6%.

The effective rate for mortgage products tracked by the MBA fell across the board, with average 30-year jumbo rates dropping 12 basis points to 6.81% last week. Interest rates for the 15-year product were nearly flat at 6.14%. 

Adjustable rate mortgages made up 7.1% of all applications in the past seven days, and those applicants enjoyed average rates falling 12 basis points to 6.10%.


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